And when he gets bored he will pivot to something where he thinks he can score an easy, spectacular win or he will try to do something dramatic, something satisfying to his ego and to his base.

For now Israel and the US still think that more bombing of Iran will give them their coveted regime change.

Iran can’t do as much damage as some commentators confidently yell from the roof tops, but at least their system of government will probably survive and then Israeli and American victory over Iran’s forces is incomplete.

A ground invasion of Iran is a near impossibility, it would require too many troops, too much equipment and would make the insurgency in Iraq look like a sandbox exercise.

When will Trump get reaaaally bored?

When soon enough more and more countries start pushing for talks and a diplomatic solution. And when more countries, like Spain, refuse to cooperate. Trump can’t keep yelling he’s going to cut off all trade with anyone who doesn’t immediately do what he wants.

Likely outcome:

Regime survival for Iran. This attack on Iran sold as a huge success and a bold, daring assault on their nuclear programme and proud announcements that most Iranian rockets were intercepted.

Long term?

America’s standing undermined and even less trust in negotiating with them or doing deals with them, since we have seen that while they pretend they want a solution by talking to you, they have already decided to assassinate your leaders and will shrug if they murder 160 school girls.